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Monday 13 August 2018

CAPITALSTARS MCX COMMODITY TUESDAY MARKET UPDATE

BULLION:- 

Gold prices traded steady on Tuesday, but hovered close to an 18-month low hit in the previous session. Gold prices sank below $1,200 per ounce on Monday to their lowest since late January 2017, losing out to U.S. Treasuries and a strong dollar as investors sought refuge from a financial market rout triggered by a crashing Turkish lira. Investors traditionally use gold as a means of preserving the value of their assets during times of political and economic uncertainty and inflation, but it has this year failed to benefit. Instead investors have made a beeline for U.S. Treasuries, seen as the ultimate safe haven, which meant they had to buy dollars. The lira has tumbled on worries over Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan’s increasing control over the economy and deteriorating relations with the United States. An investor flight to safety lifted U.S. Treasury yields from four weeks lows. The dollar index touched a 13-month high before paring gains. The higher greenback makes dollar-denominated assets more expensive for holders of other currencies, which subdues demand - a relationship used by funds to generate buy and sell signals from numerical models. Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, at 25.3 million ounces have dropped about 10 percent from their April peak and are at their lowest since February 2016.
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BASE METALS:-

London copper prices drifted lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as the dollar stood tall versus other currencies on concerns that a rout in the Turkish lira could infect European banks and emerging economies. he Turkish lira was trading at 6.9100 per dollar in early Asian deals on Tuesday, compared with Monday’s record low of 7.24 after the central bank pledged to provide liquidity. The lira has lost more than 40 percent this month on concerns about President Tayyip Erdogan’s reluctance to raise interest rates despite rising inflation and a deepening diplomatic rift with the United States. Chinese industrial production and fixed asset investment growth came in below forecasts in July, with the latter falling to a record low as retail sales also disappointed. Fixed asset investment grew 5.5 per cent for the first seven months of the year, compared to the same period last year. A median forecast from economists polled by Reuters had forecast 6 per cent growth, in line with the previous month. The latest reading was the lowest on record, according to official data compiled by Wind Info and dating back to 1992.The slowdown in investment comes despite Beijing last month announcing a series of tax cuts and infrastructure spending in a bid to stimulate demand after the country's gross domestic product grew at its slowest pace since 2016 in the second quarter.
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ENERGY:-

Oil prices rose on Tuesday after a report from OPEC confirmed that top exporter Saudi Arabia had cut production to avert looming oversupply. In July, Saudi Arabia told the producer group of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) that it had cut production by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 10.288 million bpd. OPEC’s monthly report published on Monday, which uses data from secondary sources, confirmed the Saudi cut, which traders said triggered crude’s upward move early on Tuesday. That came despite the Saudi move coming in anticipation of a slowdown in oil demand. The OPEC report said it expected world oil demand to grow by 1.43 million bpd in 2019, down from 1.64 million bpd in 2018. OPEC said the demand slowdown would come on the back of potentially lower economic growth as a result of trade disputes between the United States and China as well as emerging market turmoil. Despite this, OPEC said overall oil demand would likely remain healthy. Chinese oil refinery output rose 11.6 percent in July from a year earlier, government data showed on Tuesday, with state-run plants operating at high rates but smaller independent refiners struggling with squeezed profit margins. Refinery throughput last month reached 50.95 million tonnes, or 11.95 million barrels per day (bpd), according to the data from the National Bureau of Statistics. That compared to 12.11 million bpd in June.

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